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中国SCI论文发表量全球第二位,被引次数第四位,引领指数第九位

2015-09-18 MedSci MedSci原创

中国的科研到底有多强?中国科学院最新发布的《2015科学发展报告》,通过对汤森路透集团发布的Web of Science(Wos)数据库进行论文统计分析,给出了答案:中国科研虽逐渐崭露头角,开始步入国际科技中心,但仍有较大提升空间。这个统计依据SCI文章数量而定,虽然,发表SCI文章与否在国内存在争议,但毫无争议,SCI仍然代表国际论文的权威,甚至代表国家科研实力和科研竞争力,甚至代表综合国力。

中国的科研到底有多强?中国科学院最新发布的《2015科学发展报告》,通过对汤森路透集团发布的Web of Science(Wos)数据库进行论文统计分析,给出了答案:中国科研虽逐渐崭露头角,开始步入国际科技中心,但仍有较大提升空间。这个统计依据SCI文章数量而定,虽然,发表SCI文章与否在国内存在争议,但毫无争议,SCI仍然代表国际论文的权威,甚至代表国家科研实力和科研竞争力,甚至代表综合国力。

而根据中国科技信息研究,2004年至2014年9月,我国共发表国际论文136.98万篇,排在世界第2位,比2013年统计时增加了19.8%,位次保持不变。论文共被引用1037.01万次,排在世界第4位(表1)。

表1 2004-2014年间发表科技论文数20万篇以上的国家(地区)论文数及被引用情况


中国在三大国际期刊发文量居第9位

中国科学院朱强等统计了我国2004-2013年在Cell、Nature、Science三大期刊上发表的论文数量,发现我国发表在这三大期刊上的论文由2004年的73篇增加到2013年的226篇,累计增长209.6%,年均增长7.7%,而同期这三大期刊上的累计发文量只增加了5.6%。

在此期间,平均排名也由第13位上升至第9位(图1),认为目前我国高水平论文产出处在美、英、德后的第三集团。

图1  中国2013年三大国际期刊论文产出世界排名及占比统计

《2015科学发展报告》之所以分析Wos数据库,是因为科学论文的发表是反映科技发展的晴雨表,而该数据库则收录了全世界10000余种重要的科学期刊,从中比较中国与世界各科技强国,自会一显强弱。

科研发表高速增长,与美距离缩短

2009~2013年,中国SCI论文发表保持高速增长。2014年SCI论文数量达到21.9万篇,占世界总量的16.2%,与美SCI论文数量逐渐缩短距离(图2)。

图2  2009-2013年 全球SCI论文发表数量前十名(a)及所占份额(b)

中国SCI论文发表的多,但引用的多吗?数据显示,2009-2013年引文数量位居世界第三,与2004-2008年相比,2009-2013年论文篇均引文由3.19次增加倒4.54次,论文引用率从55.22%上升到63.35%(图3)。

图3  2004-2008年、2009-2013年主要科技强国与新兴科技国家的论文引用率(%)

《2015科学发展报告》指出,引用率的提升,可以说是随着中国整体学术影响力提升水涨船高之故,而整体学术影响力的提升则主要源自中国研究规模的迅速扩张。与欧美科技强国相比,中国SCI论文影响力仍有待提高。

学术引领性略逊:学术影响辐射范围相对较窄

从2008-2012年引领指数来看,美国一直位居首位,在2012年得分为0.278,其余国家的得分均在0.1以下,这表明美国了美国的核心地位和学术影响力的绝对领先优势(图4)。

图4  2012年全球学术引领指数前十名

此外,英国、德国、法国在2008年、2010年和2012年3个时间节点稳居排行榜的前4位(图5),凸显其科学强国地位。除俄罗斯外,中国、韩国、印度等新兴科技国家的引领指数排名呈现稳步上升态势。

图5  2008年、2010年、2012年全球排名前25位的引领指数排名

具体而言,2008-2012年,中国引领指数的世界排名从第13位上升到第9位,在全球引用网络中的影响力有所提高。但与引文数量排名世界第三相比,引领指数却显逊色。这说明,虽然论文被引用总量多,但是被其他国家引用不够广泛,学术影响力的辐射范围相对较窄。

报告认为,产出具有广泛影响力的高水平科研成果,提升中国科研工作的学术引领性,是未来需要考虑着力思考和关注的关键问题之一。

这与我国的科研投入是分不开的。数据显示,自2004年始,我国科学研究与试验经费连续8年实现20%以上的增长,直到2012年全国共投入研究与试验发展经费10298.4亿元,首次突破万亿元大关。

这份报告指出,在过去的十年,中国完成了科技发达国家花了更长时间才能完成的科学积累,也取得了令人瞩目的进步。但从科技起飞到科技成熟需要时间积淀。在这个过程,还需中国科研人员潜心钻研,更需科研决策者客观认识中国科学发展所处的阶段,摒弃“短、平、快”的发展策略,为科研人员创造更为良好的科研环境,制定长期可持续发展战略和学科发展政策。

来源:

[1] 科学网《2015科学发展报告》

[2] 朱强等, 中国2004-2013年Cell、Nature、Science论文产出及国际地位变化分析. 中国科技期刊研究, 2014,25:1178-1180.

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    2015-10-07 hlycom3356

    很好的文章哦

    0

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    2015-09-22 jawel

    中国就是好大喜功,应该也评评质量

    0

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    2015-09-21 nizongzan

    国情决定的,人多学生多

    0

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    2015-09-21 nizongzan

    好还是不好,不能只看量

    0

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    2015-09-20 lovejing

    自己引用自己的文章占多少呢?

    0

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    2015-09-18 咕噜噜8183

    感觉我大中国越来越厉害了耶

    0

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