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出生人口大幅下降,中国该放开生育限制吗?

2021-02-21 网络 网络

公安部发布的《二〇二〇年全国姓名报告》显示,截至2020年12月31日,2020年出生并已经到公安机关进行户籍登记的新生儿共1003.5万人,较2019年减少了175.5万人,降幅为14.9%。虽然2

公安部发布的《二〇二〇年全国姓名报告》显示,截至2020年12月31日,2020年出生并已经到公安机关进行户籍登记的新生儿共1003.5万人,较2019年减少了175.5万人,降幅为14.9%。虽然2020年新冠疫情的影响不可忽视,这一数据还是引发了广泛的关注。

“单独两孩”和“全面二孩”先后于2013年12月28日和2016年1月1日起实施。“全面二孩”实施已满五年,陆杰华认为,下一次政策调整最可能的选项有两个,一个是“放开三孩”,另一个就是“全面放开”。“全国两会还有大约两周就要召开,第七次人口普查的数据4月起也将陆续公布。国家卫健委在此时对这一建议作出答复,是一个很重要的信号。”

2020年全国两会,全国人大代表、辽宁省常务副省长陈向群在审议政府工作报告时提出,恳请率先在东北地区全面放开人口生育政策。2018年印发的《辽宁省人口发展规划(2016-2030年)》中提到,辽宁全省人口到2020年达到4385万人,2030年达到4500万人。实际上根据辽宁2020年公布的数据,2019年年末全省人口为4351.7万人,人口减少的趋势未能逆转。

“辽宁、吉林、黑龙江三省的人口已经持续出现负增长,转向正增长的难度非常大。如果在东北地区试点全面放开生育,对减缓人口下降趋势不能说没有效果,能够起到一定的全国示范作用,但实际意义不大。”陆杰华表示,十九届五中全会提出实施积极应对人口老龄化国家战略,当前,我国正处在生育政策调整完善的重要节点。

2月20日,据国家卫健委网站消息,近日,国家卫健委对十三届全国人大三次会议第9839号《关于解决东北地区人口减少问题的建议》答复(以下简称“答复”),引起社会关注。

对此,国家卫健委回应称,东北地区人口长期减少的原因是多方面的,不是简单放开生育政策就能解决的。对“恳请国家全面放开东北地区生育政策限制”的观点,需做全面深入的研究论证。关于互联网上“东北地区将试点放开生育限制”“生育政策将全面放开”等推测,国家卫健委表示,不是答复的本意。

北京大学社会学系教授、中国人口学学会副会长陆杰华指出,全国两会即将召开,第七次人口普查的数据也即将公布,“我国正处在生育政策调整完善的重要节点,国家卫健委现在对这一建议进行回复,是重要的信号。”

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    2021-08-01 水若寒

    难养啊

    0

  2. [GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=1004333, encodeId=62c3100433335, content=难养啊, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=110, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=51a25233326, createdName=水若寒, createdTime=Sun Aug 01 07:33:07 CST 2021, time=2021-08-01, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=1004332, encodeId=e58c1004332b8, content=难养, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=103, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=51a25233326, createdName=147a5a6dm85暂无昵称, createdTime=Sun Aug 01 07:29:13 CST 2021, time=2021-08-01, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926249, encodeId=f28892624959, content=育易,养难,高质量的养更是挑战, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=135, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://img.medsci.cn/20210221/ec8bf86553ee406a8309bfa1db65aa95/2bf3f2997dce44b69c5c99cc792a3555.jpg, createdBy=a2595461407, createdName=ms7000002104334839, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 22:43:16 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926225, encodeId=8ca19262252a, content=二胎政策是来拯救老龄化社会的,可惜大部分人还是生不起, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=119, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=ea775461847, createdName=小白白努力逆袭, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 21:08:18 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926073, encodeId=5e339260e3bf, content=不错,开放二胎我们以后养老没那么累, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=116, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=85603046279, createdName=zhanglian9089, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 11:27:51 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926068, encodeId=f0ea9260687d, content=放开也没有人生啊, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=99, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://img.medsci.cn/20200914/f1df8506d5cb4909bac2efc340b6c1fe/dcc6dd2dbec44613838b555fbe723804.jpg, createdBy=686b1371609, createdName=liyu7822, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 11:07:13 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=)]
    2021-08-01 147a5a6dm85暂无昵称

    难养

    0

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    2021-02-21 ms7000002104334839

    育易,养难,高质量的养更是挑战

    0

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    2021-02-21 小白白努力逆袭

    二胎政策是来拯救老龄化社会的,可惜大部分人还是生不起

    0

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    2021-02-21 zhanglian9089

    不错,开放二胎我们以后养老没那么累

    0

  6. [GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=1004333, encodeId=62c3100433335, content=难养啊, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=110, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=51a25233326, createdName=水若寒, createdTime=Sun Aug 01 07:33:07 CST 2021, time=2021-08-01, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=1004332, encodeId=e58c1004332b8, content=难养, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=103, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=51a25233326, createdName=147a5a6dm85暂无昵称, createdTime=Sun Aug 01 07:29:13 CST 2021, time=2021-08-01, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926249, encodeId=f28892624959, content=育易,养难,高质量的养更是挑战, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=135, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://img.medsci.cn/20210221/ec8bf86553ee406a8309bfa1db65aa95/2bf3f2997dce44b69c5c99cc792a3555.jpg, createdBy=a2595461407, createdName=ms7000002104334839, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 22:43:16 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926225, encodeId=8ca19262252a, content=二胎政策是来拯救老龄化社会的,可惜大部分人还是生不起, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=119, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=ea775461847, createdName=小白白努力逆袭, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 21:08:18 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926073, encodeId=5e339260e3bf, content=不错,开放二胎我们以后养老没那么累, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=116, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=85603046279, createdName=zhanglian9089, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 11:27:51 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=926068, encodeId=f0ea9260687d, content=放开也没有人生啊, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=99, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://img.medsci.cn/20200914/f1df8506d5cb4909bac2efc340b6c1fe/dcc6dd2dbec44613838b555fbe723804.jpg, createdBy=686b1371609, createdName=liyu7822, createdTime=Sun Feb 21 11:07:13 CST 2021, time=2021-02-21, status=1, ipAttribution=)]
    2021-02-21 liyu7822

    放开也没有人生啊

    0

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