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Work disability and the Northern Irish Troubles

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

In this paper, we examine the labour market implications of permanent illness or injury from conflict among civilians. From 1969 to 1998, Northern Ire......

Disentangling the Effects of Uncertainty, Monetary Policy and Leverage Shocks on the Economy

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

In this paper, we assess the information content and predictive ability of various risk and uncertainty measures in predicting various measures of rea......

Are Recoveries all the Same: GDP and TFP?

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

Recessions and subsequent recoveries are frequently classified as 'L-shaped' or 'U-shaped', with output losses in the former being permanent and losse......

Covid-19 Control and the Economy: Test, Test, Test*

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

Hard lockdowns have left policymakers to face the ethical dilemma of choosing between saving lives and saving the economy. However, massive testing co......

On the Value of Birth Weight

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

A large body of evidence documents the educational and labour market returns to birth weight, which are reflected in investments in large social safet......

Real Estate Boom and Firm Productivity: Evidence from China

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

Studies on the relationship between housing prices and firm behaviours have focused on the relationship between housing prices and firm financing and ......

Adolescent School Bullying Victimization and Later Life Outcomes

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (4)

We analyse the consequences of experiencing bullying victimization in junior high school, using data on a cohort of English adolescents. The data cont......

International Effects of Euro Area Forward Guidance*

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (5)

In this paper, we investigate the international effects of euro rate forward guidance (FG) and compare them to spillovers from a conventional monetary......

Work Hard or Play Hard? Degree Class, Student Leadership and Employment Opportunities

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2021; 83 (4)

This study investigates the impact on first hiring outcomes of two main curriculum vitae (CV) characteristics by which graduates with a tertiary educa......

Bayesian Inference in Spatial Stochastic Volatility Models: An Application to House Price Returns in Chicago

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, ; ()

In this study, we propose a spatial stochastic volatility model in which the latent log-volatility terms follow a spatial autoregressive process. Thou......

The Public-Sector Cost of Capital: An Empirical Test of Peltzman's Conjecture

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, ; ()

I test whether public-sector ownership reduces conventional measures of market risk by using an event exogenous to the air transportation sector. I fi......

A New Unit Root Test for Unemployment Hysteresis Based on the Autoregressive Neural Network*

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, ; ()

This paper proposes a nonlinear unit root test based on the autoregressive neural network process for testing unemployment hysteresis. In this new uni......

The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, ; ()

We estimate a monthly interacted-VAR model for euro area macroeconomic aggregates allowing for the impact of uncertainty shocks to depend on the state......

Domestic and Global Determinants of Inflation: Evidence from Expectile Regression

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, ; ()

This paper investigates the role of domestic and global determinants of core inflation in the euro area. We analyse the entire conditional distributio......

Convergence in Sovereign Debt Defaults: Quantifying the Roles of Institutions

期刊: OXFORD BULLETIN OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, ; ()

In this study, using an ex ante measure, we examine the convergence patterns in sovereign defaults among 101 developing countries for the period from ......

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